Abstract
The rapid advancement of eVTOL technology offers a novel solution for enhancing commuting efficiency across complex geographical barriers, thereby accelerating the construction and development of 3D transportation infrastructure. However, the planning and development of an eVTOL operational network rely heavily on detailed passenger flow analysis and strategic decision-making regarding flight frequencies. This paper integrates the classic Multinomial Logit model from transportation planning to estimate route-specific passenger demand. With the objective of maximizing the global unit profit for the eVTOL operator, an optimization model for flight frequency scheduling is established. A Genetic Algorithm, tailored to the model's structure, is designed to calculate the dispatch headways for eVTOLs on each route. A case study, based on the "Xiangtan Urban Area - Zhuzhou West Railway Station - Xiangtan North Railway Station" bidirectional loop eVTOL network, validates the approach. The optimal flight frequencies for each route are derived through computations that account for competition with various transportation modes. Sensitivity analysis reveals that operators must prioritize marketing effectiveness for highly time-sensitive passengers. Furthermore, performing more flexible, dynamic flight adjustments based on accurate predictions of commuter flow is essential for comprehensively improving operational performance.
References
Federal Aviation Administration. (2020). Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) Implementation Plan. Washington, D.C: FAA.
European Union Aviation Safety Agency. (2023). Special Condition for Small-category VTOL Aircraft. Cologne: EASA.
State Council Office. (2023). Guiding Opinions on High-Quality Development of the Low-Altitude Economy.
Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Science and Technology, et al. (2024). Implementation Plan for Innovative Application of General Aviation Equipment (2024-2030).
Tencent News. (2024). Fengfei Aviation eVTOL "Air Taxi" Successfully Completes First Cross-Yangtze River Flight. https://news.qq.com/rain/a/20240801A093M300
Qingyang Local News. (2025). Qingyang Builds Gansu's First Low-Altitude Economy City. https://www.gs.gov.cn/gsszf/c100002/c100006/c100008/202510/174229776.shtml
Qiqi Liu. (2021). Unmanned eVTOL Transports Seafood by Air! Shanghai-Zhoushan Round Trip Nearly 200 Kilometers. Dazhong Network. https://yrd.huanqiu.com/article/44WS4lGU3X2
Guangdong Trans. (2024). "Air Taxi": Shenzhen to Zhuhai in Only 20 Minutes. Department of Transport of Guangdong Province. https://td.gd.gov.cn/dtxw_n/tpxw/content/post_4386179.html
Lo, H. K., Yip, C. W., & Wan, Q. K.. (2004). Modeling competitive multi-modal transit services: a nested logit approach. Transportation research. Part C, Emerging Technologies, 12(3-4), 251-272. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2004.07.011
Wang, K., Jacquillat, A., Vaze, V.. (2022) Vertiport Planning for Urban Aerial Mobility: An Adaptive Discretization Approach. Manufacturing & service operations management, 24(6), 3797-3306. https://doi.org/10.1287/msom.2022.1148
German Aerospace Center. (2019). eVOTL Operating Costs Comparable to Those of Ground Transportation. DLR News.
China EV100. (2020). Research on the development of urban air mobility in China. China EV100 News. http://www.chinaev100.org/
Morgan Stanley. (2021). Autonomous Aircraft and the Future of Air Travel.
Joby Aviation. (2024). Our Aircraft. https://www.jobyaviation.com/aircraft/
Lilium. (2024). Lilium Jet. https://lilium.com/jet
Xpeng Aeroht.(2024). Traveler X2. https://aeroht.com/eng/traveler-x2/
Civil Aviation Administration of China. (2023). Special Conditions for the EH216-S Aircraft Type. http://www.caac.gov.cn/XXGK/XXGK/GFXWJ/202302/t20230224_216896.html
Shenzhen Urban Transport Planning Center Co., Ltd. (2022). Urban Air Mobility Development White Paper. https://www.sutpc.com/news/industry/475.html
Roland Berger. (2021). Urban Air Mobility - The Rise of a New Mode of Transportation.
McKinsey & Company. (2022). When will electric airplanes finally take off ?
Sergio, M. F., Timothy, H., Troy, W., Robert, S., & Robert, R.. (2016). Optimization of a Truck-drone in Tandem Delivery Network Using k-means and Genetic Algorithm. Journal of Industrial Engineering & Management, 9(2), 374. https://doi.org/10.3926/jiem.1929
Zhou, H., Feng, Y., & Han, L.. (2001). The Hybrid Heuristic Genetic Algorithm for Job Shop Scheduling. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 40(3), 191-200. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0360-8352(01)00017-1

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Copyright (c) 2025 Chenxuan Li, Zhengxiao Wang, Ruinan Zheng, Yang Li (Author); Jing He (Co-Authors)
